Calculation Difference of Tajikistan’s Ranking Points

Today, AFC have published the final ranking for 2017. You can view the ranking in this link. We also have published our calculation of the ranking on November 25. You can view our calculation here. Our calculation is totally accurate, except for one MA, Tajikistan. In 2017, AFC said that Tajikistan earn 12.663, while our calculation said 12.900. So how we calculate the points earned by Tajikistan in 2017? You can check this page for details of points calculation, but we will give more detailed explanation here.

Tajikistan have two clubs in 2017 AFC Cup: Istiklol entered the group stage, while Khosilot entered the qualification play-off. You can view the calculation rules on Wikipedia page here.

Calculation for Istiklol :

  • Group stage : 5 wins and 1 draw.
    • Points earned : 3 points * 5 wins + 1 point * 1 draw = 16 points
  • Inter-zonal semi-final vs Ceres Negros : 1 win and 1 draw
    • Points earned : 4.8 points * 1 win + 1.6 points * 1 draw + 3 bonus points for reaching this round = 9.4 points
  • Inter-zonal final vs Bengaluru : 1 win and 1 draw
    • Points earned : 4.8 points * 1 win + 1.6 points * 1 draw + 3 bonus points for reaching this round = 9.4 points
  • Final vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya : 1 loss
    • Points earned : 0 points, because of loss + 3 bonus points for reaching this round = 3 points

Istiklol points = (16 + 9.4 + 9.4 + 3) / 3 = 37.8 / 3 = 12.6 points

Since Khosilot eliminated in qualifying play-off, their points will be added to Istiklol’s points as bonus.

Calculation for Khosilot :

  • Preliminary round vs Shaheen Asmayee : 1 win and 1 draw
    • Points earned : 0.3 points * 1 win + 0.15 points * 1 draw = 0.45 points
  • Play-off round vs Dordoi : 1 draw and 1 loss
    • Points earned : 0.15 points * 1 draw = 0.15 points
  • Bonus points for entry
    • Points earned : 0.3 points

Khosilot points = (0.45 + 0.15 + 0.3) / 3 = 0.3 points

So, Tajikistan total points should be 12.6 + 0.3 = 12.9 points

Even though this small difference don’t affect the ranking too much, it could be a big problem in other cases where the points difference between MA is small. For example, points difference between Hong Kong and Malaysia is only 0.266 and the higher one will get AFC Champions League direct slot. If there are differences in the calculation, there will be confusion of who should be ranked higher.

We also have calculated using several scenarios if AFC’s calculation is correct. The result is there isn’t any possible scenarios for AFC’s calculation to happen. One of bonus points, number of wins, number of draws should be decimal for Tajikistan to get 12.663 points. It’s impossible because all that number is a round number. Hopefully, AFC will fix Tajikistan’s points soon.

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s